A fall storm is on track to produce heavy rain and strong winds Monday into Tuesday, including in the Brainerd lakes area, according to the National Weather Service in Duluth.

An email from the NWS in Duluth outlines the following information:

Expected hazards

  • Around 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, which could cause some minor ponding in urban and low-lying areas, but flooding is not expected.

  • Very strong east-northeast winds at 20-30 mph gusting to 45 mph Monday, variable and weaker winds Monday night, then northwest winds 15-20 mph on Tuesday.

  • Large waves and gales on Lake Superior could lead to some minor beach erosion and lakeshore flooding, but the quick-moving nature of the storm should limit the possibility for major lakeshore flooding/damage.

Timing

  • Start: Rain and strong east-northeast winds develop Monday morning into the early afternoon.

  • Worst conditions: Strongest winds and heaviest rainfall rates will occur Monday afternoon.

  • End: Breezy northwest winds and scattered showers linger through Tuesday, coming to an end Tuesday night.

Uncertainty

  • Lakeshore flooding could be a concern if winds are stronger than currently forecast.